Outlier and Rithmm are two of the most widely used betting tools in America, but they have very different strategies for value hunting. Outlier uses a mixture of statistical research and odds aggregators to get value. You can use the app to research your next bets, or, open EV+ feeds to pick out the wagers that Outlier has devigged and rated against the probabilities.
Rithmm, on the other hand, takes on an altogether different angle to value. While it does have line shopping and value metrics, the core features revolve around statistical analysis. Instead of using the odds set by the US sportsbooks, social sportsbooks, P2P betting exchanges and prediction markets, Rithmm calculates value based on historic data inputs and bet modeling. The best part is that you can actually tweak the parameters and test them on a massive backlog of data, so you can see how effective your custom betting models are.
The means to the ends are quite similar, in that you can either research your picks against statistical analysis, or you can pick out the precalculated EV bets from the feeds, but the devil is in the details with these two.
Outlier vs Rithmm by User Feedback
The first place to start is with the real feedback and comments left by users of Outlier and Rithmm. Both tools have been praised for their accurate value betting metrics and coverage of the main US sports. Rithmm has a slightly steeper learning curve, it sets a high bar for expert value hunting, which is a major plus. Outlier is perhaps better equipped for complete beginners, but with enough filters and deep stats analysis to accommodate the experts.
Users have found that Outlier has a more comprehensive props coverage; however, some users have complained about the support. For Rithmm, the main complaints are that it is expensive, props are not always available, and some users reported poor hit rates. Given that Rithmm has a more DIY approach (where you make your own models), the mixed hit rate feedback is quite normal – we found that Rithmm takes a little trial and error.
| Outlier vs Rithmm User Feedback Comparison | |
|---|---|
| Outlier Pros | Rithmm Pros |
| Super Insightful & impressed with user-friendly interface | The AI predictive models are very accurate |
| The precision of the analytics sets this app apart | Great for finding picks and precise handicapping |
| This app makes NFL & NBA props so much easier | Models are easy to build and manage |
| Huge time saver | Takes some learning, but it can take your bets to an expert level |
| Outlier Cons | Rithmm Cons |
| Disappointed with lack of communication during one of their giveaways | Betting props are not always available |
| Recent upgrade of +EV platform removed main view of hit rates | Would be good if it was cheaper |
| Couple of notches under OddsJam in terms of options and depth | No soccer, the sports coverage is not enough |
| Bolt picks shouldn’t be followed blindly | |
Pricing and Subscriptions
The subscription costs at Outlier and Rithmm are similar, but the packages offer very different types of betting software. Both Rithmm and Outlier.bet have monthly or annual billing cycles, and you can save money if you opt for the annual billing. Also, if you sign up through our links you can get a 25% discount off your first Outlier subscription, or a 1 week trial free at Rithmm. Both have good sign up offers, including free trials or discounts, for new customers.
Outlier.bet Subscriptions
There are three main Outlier subscriptions, starting from $19.99 and going up to $79.99 (monthly plans, you can save ~17% with annual billing).
Outlier Premium
$19.99/month
~$16.66/month (annual)
With Outlier Premium you get trending insights for researching game and props bets, with odds comparisons, line movement tracking, injury reports and real-time betting alerts.
Outlier Premium+
$29.99/month
~$24.99/month (annual)
Premium+ includes everything in Premium, adding real-time odds movement charts which are useful for tracking steam, and the popular EV+ bet indicators. The latter are the precalculated EV formulas, which devig the odds and give you EV percentages with different methods (multiplicative, additive, shin and power).
Outlier Pro
$79.99/month
~$29.99/month (annual)
The Pro subscription adds sharp book odds, boost analytics, middles betting and an arbitrage feed to the Premium+ toolkit, giving you full access to all of Outlier’s features. Basically, if you are looking for EV and value analytics, you can opt for either of the first two subscriptions (Premium+ basically adding those EV algorithmic aggregators), and the Pro adds boost analytics as well as middles and arbitrage bets.
Rithmm Subscriptions
Rithmm mainly focuses on researching bets with statistical analysis; it doesn’t have hedged betting strategies like arbitrage or middles. Neither does it analyze boosts or provide sophisticated line movement bet trackers. Instead, you get AI smart signals with EV metrics, and the predictive modeling software through which you can create your own EV formulas.
Rithmm Core
$29.99/month
$19.99/month (annual)
The basic Rithmm Core package gives you access to all the Smart Signals, Predictions odds comparison screen, and the modeling software. You get features such as the parlay builder and one-tap betslip exporter, and you can create your own models with the basic parameters, testing them against Rithmm’s data backlog of about 2,000+ games.
Rithmm Premium
$49.99/month
$33.33/month (annual)
The Premium subscription ups the ante with more advanced model building features. You get a deeper pool of stats and custom factor creation possibilities to tweak the models to finer details. There are also NBA and NFL player impact adjustments that you can use to further customize your models, and you have options to export and analyze your tracked bet data. It is the natural extension of the Core package, with a higher ceiling for the professionals who want to create more personalized and precise EV betting models.
Main Features: Outlier vs Rithmm
Where the pricing is similar, the main features of the two tools couldn’t differ more. Outlier is a pretty versatile tool, offering deep research functions, EV analysis, line shopping and movement tracking, and hedging tools for arbitrage and middles.
Rithmm on the other hand is geared towards EV, or value betting, and it gives you the reigns to assess value on your own terms. Instead of using premade formulas, you can build your own value models, testing these against Rithmm’s data backlog, and getting more personalized EV bets.
Sports Covered
An easy place to start is the sports coverage. Rithmm covers the major US sports including MLB, WNBA, NFL, NBA, college sports and golf. Outlier has a similar scope, with football, basketball, baseball, hockey, and soccer. Neither of these apps has the same depth, as the likes of OddsJam, which has a scope of 20+ categories.
It is safe to say, both Outlier and Rithmm are really designed for bettors who pick the major leagues or college sports. If you are looking to get value in eSports bets, or find software that specializes in tennis, then you will have to look elsewhere.
Depth of Game and Player Markets
So the sports scope is mainly US-only at both, with only Outlier covering international soccer leagues. So in the local sports scene, the main bets that most sports fans go for are the main markets (moneylines, spreads and totals), and props (player props, team bets, game props). Both Outlier and Rithmm cover the main markets well, with detailed insights into moneylines, main and alternative line spread bets, and totals for each game.
Outlier slightly edges Rithmm in the props department. It casts a strong focus on player props, with all the main NFL, NBA, MLB, and other sports player-related bets. You can research these, compare them for value, and calculate your edge in the odds offered at different sportsbooks. Rithmm also covers player props bets, but these are not as emphasized as at Outlier. Also, if you want to build your models with player adjustments, then you will have to pay for the Premium – the Rithmm Core subscription does not have this feature.
Statistical Analysis at Outlier
Outlier offers statistical analysis, where you can compare data in neatly presented charts and tables, with probabilities gauging the likelihood of each bet to win. There aren’t many betting tools that have the same wide reach of stats and the brilliant graphics that Outlier uses to present these stats.
The statistical analysis, comprising trending insights, injury reports and advanced props data, are best for researching your bets. The difference between this and the EV feed is that with the statistical analysis, you already have the bet you want to place, and can use the figures to work out the best lines or see the metrics behind the bet. With the EV feed, you are looking for inspiration on what to bet next.
Outlier EV Feed
The EV feed at Outlier can be used to find quick EV bets on the go, or you can open the filter and individual EV analytics for each bet for greater analysis. We liked how Outlier recognized the need to provide EV bets quickly, ideal for surface level analytics or placing bets that are potentially volatile (like live bets). But it also has the rundown for each bet, with statistical analysis, devigging method percentages, basic line movement tracking, line shopping, and also some comparison stats so you can weigh selected bets against worthy alternatives.
Rithmm EV Modeling
The bet modeling at Rithmm is a unique selling point. You can start by either copying a premade model or building a model from scratch. Then, head into the parameters and adjust these to your liking. For example, you can build an NFL model and tweak the weightings for Running, Passing, Offense, Defense or Ranks stats. Or for MLB, for example, you can adjust the weight distribution for stats relating to Groundball pitching, Strikeout pitching, Contact hitting, Power hitting, and Walks.
When you are happy with your customized model settings, you can check the upcoming games in your chosen sport and see how the value is calculated according to your preferences. And, the best part is that Rithmm offers a Testing function where you can test your model’s EV percentages and hit rate on over 2,000 games recorded in Rithmm’s backlog. You can check how your model works with historical results, and then apply it to upcoming games.
Rithmm Parlay Building
The predictive analysis at Rithmm also extends to parlay bets. It has a Parlay Optimizer which helps you choose the legs for your parlay by identifying weak links and bets that work well together. You can check out the Parlay Pieces, which are suggested bets that may not have lengthy odds, but act as viable “supporting bets” to beef up any parlays.
You can pick out bets in the Predictions odds screen, where the wagers are also given ranks based on their probabilities and the line shopping software picks out the best odds. Add them to your Rithmm Bet Slip, and then you can use the one-tap bet integration to populate these parlay slips at your sportsbook. With plenty of supporting bets, parlay optimization and speedy one-tap features, Rithmm is a strong parlay betting tool.
Outlier Arbs, Middles and Boosts
The Outlier Premium subscription adds boost analytics, arbitrage bets and middles to the EV and research functions. Like all the other features on Outlier, these are presented neatly with arbitrage bet pairings, precalculated stakes and ROI, and settings to filter the results. You can filter the books, the sports and look for bets based on ROI %. And to catch the lines early, Outlier offers quick bet integration via links or QR codes (for mobile betting). The boost analytics examines boosted odds offers at different sportsbooks, and gives you accurate value and probability assessments to determine if they are worth the hit or not.
The middles bets are similarly organized, with the analysis extending to the probabilities of hitting the middles. You pick a middles suggestion and Outlier shows the historical line data, calculates probabilities of either side of your middle winning (plus the returns for these), and the probability of hitting your middle. It is not as detailed or advanced as some middles betting tools we have seen, but a perfect addition for arbitrage bettors or value bettors who want to dabble in high ROI middles.
Who They Are Best Suited To
Outlier is definitely the more rounded tool, where you can research bets, find trending insights, compare EV bets (from Premium+), and potentially dip into some arbitrage and middles bets (Pro plan). We like the speed and efficiency this app has to offer, which are ideal for picking out alternative lines or niche player props, and quickly compare or research them for your next bets.
Rithmm requires a little more hands-on work, where you build models, test them, and then look for value. This method can generate much larger EV percentages, but it also carries risk – as noted in some user feedback that reported poor results. Throw in the line shopping and parlay building, and Rithmm covers all areas of value betting. There are few to no tools that give you the same freedom to customize EV models as Rithmm, which is highly attractive (yet it can be dangerous at the same time – you should be more careful than with the general EV formulas that Outlier uses).
Summarizing Outlier vs Rithmm
The similarities between the two are that neither:
- Covers loads of sports
- Has advanced line shopping (with more than 10+ books)
But both have a similar:
- Subscription pricing
- Value betting focus
- Concentrate on major US sports
Outlier is better for versatility, researching bets, and for arbitrage and middles. You find value bets based on concrete mathematical methods and real-time odds movements at Outlier, as well as compare the statistics to get an edge. Outlier is also the better tool for player props and alternate lines, with deeper betting markets beyond the main markets.
Rithmm is more for the bettor who wants to create their own EV formulas, through the models, and use this as a basis to weigh the given market odds. It can yield far higher EV percentages than Outlier, and the results could be a lot better. But if there are weaknesses or oversights in your model, then it can lead to over inflated EV percentages or more upsets/variance in your results.
Outlier vs Rithmm Alternatives
There are loads of quality value betting and bet research tools in the US which you can compare to either Rithmm or Outlier. For simply researching bets, you can save money with tools like Linemate or Props.Cash. If you want a tool that aggregates the betting odds prices, devigs these, and gives you reliable percentages of the value, then we could easily recommend the likes of OddsJam or Unabated, or, alternatives like Pick the Odds, Nexus Odds and Upside Tools.
OddsShopper has a Portfolio Lab and EV Formula Creator that are similar to what you get at Rithmm, but not entirely the same. Again, there aren’t many tools that do exactly the same type of modeling as Rithmm, but OddsShopper is a good option, as is Unabated – which, besides EV percentages, also has simulators to help you get an idea of the probabilities. For more alternatives, you can always head to our Reviews hub and check all our betting tools reviews.
